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Table 5 EU and Global Carbon budgets for different probabilities of meeting 1.5 °C goal

From: Shipping and the Paris climate agreement: a focus on committed emissions

GOAL Global Carbon Budget (MtCO2) 1.5 °C Carbon Budget For ships in EU MRV (MtCO2) EU MRV baseline committed emissions (MtCO2) EU MRV baseline committed emissions as a % of Global Carbon Budget
<  1.5 °C 33% probability 700,000 2650 2260 85%
<  1.5 °C 50% probability 440,000 1670 2260 135%
<  1.5 °C 66% probability 280,000 1070 2260 212%